There has been Chinese-sponsored (or coerced) peace talks in Yunan in the past. There were truces that came out of them, only for fighting to break out months later with both sides accusing the other of breaking the terms of truce. With every disparate guerilla force gaining momentum and growing more powerful, there is no end in sight. Not for the next 50 years.

As a long time observer of Myanmar’s civil war, I need to clarify the somewhat misleading nature of this article. The journalist makes it appear as if RSO and the military Junta have reached some sort of a “truce”. This is further from the truth. Rohingya guerillas have had little to no presence in Burma since the military’s operations in 2017 and subsequent years marked by the infamous massacre of over 100 Rohingya villagers in August 2017. Due to the emergence of Arakan Army (AA) as a powerful guerilla force in Burma since the 2021 coup (Arakan are the native tibeto-burman people of the state of Arakan who are predominantly buddhist), and in a twist of irony, the military junta has been arming and training Rohingya guerillas as a counter to the threat from AA. Currently, AA has control of most of the state of Arakan with the exception of major cities and a Chinese-owned deep sea port.

China is doing its best to antagonize all of its neighbors.

Guerillas the Chinese helped founded, have supported and provided arms to have become more successful than they wanted. This development clearly confirms that Chinese are worried the Junta will collapse and Burma will fall into chaos, without a central authority but under disparate armed groups with constantly shifting territories due to rivalries amongst them. They need a central government in control of the country whom they can manipulate in order to implement their strategic interests in and through Burma. It seems their support for guerilla groups have been too successful and the situation is spinning out of their grasp.

First, we saw China appeal for regional unity in helping bring about stability in Burma 12 days ago, a break from its usual go-alone stance. Now they are blocking border trade that guerillas partially depend on for their revenue to bend them to Chinese will. The Chinese still have more leverage that they haven’t used yet of course. And it is interesting they are also pressuring the Wa who are not active participants in the civil war, but possesses the largest army amongst the guerillas with 30,000 soldiers (bigger than Sweden, Hungary or Portugal).

United States of Aristocracy.

I think Chinese are intentionally doing this. The more damage their bigger ships do to the smaller coast guard ships of Philipines, the less ships they will have to patrol and resupply their base in the Spratly islands. China has the LARGEST Navy in the world. Philippines’ dwarf in comparison.

lol awesome. love it! haven’t seen that one yet.

Your nick has me curious. Are you from one of the hill tribes of Burma?

It depends on how much reading you want to do. I find the most insightful author on Burma’s civil wars is Bertil Lintner, former journalist who covered Burma and Southeast Asia for decades. Thant Myint-U is the most extensively published historian on Myanmar. His 2019 book https://wwnorton.com/books/the-hidden-history-of-burma should cover the background on current conflicts and Chinese role in it (as I vaguely recall). Wikipedia is not fully reliable as it is but a location for information war on internet. I find some articles on Foreign Policy somewhat naive. Council on Foreign Relations has this brief backgrounder on Burma: https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/myanmar-history-coup-military-rule-ethnic-conflict-rohingya. It devotes half a sentence to the source of ethnic wars since independence: “Divisions purposely created under British colonial rule…”. Lintner and Myint-U will give the best insights. This report is succinct in covering China’s role and influence in Burma: https://www.usip.org/publications/2018/09/chinas-role-myanmars-internal-conflicts

Reposting my comment in Myanmar here to answer. It isn’t on charm offensive. This situation is interesting because China is the one arming both sides of the conflict. China is the chief arms supplier to the military Junta whose weapons have been killing civilians. It is with Chinese blessing and Chinese weapons that guerilla group Brotherhood Alliance launched its 1027 operation last year that’s been highly successful against the Junta.

China has in the past gone alone (while rejecting participation of regional and other global powers) in brokering peace in Burma forcing both the Junta and the guerillas to sit down at meetings in southern China without participation of other regional countries. China has been the one meeting with Burma’s current and former dictators in past two months, including Wang’s visit to Myanmar 2 days ago.

In an about-face, China is now seeking greater regional cooperation in Burma’s internal affairs. It may well be that the situation is spinning out of control for China, and Chinese are worried their strategic interests are now poised to crumble in Myanmar.

Now we know the real reason why Chinese are invading its neighbors in South China Sea.

Good good! Let the exodus to Lemmy begin!

Not only did they ban it, but they also barred its leaders from running in elections for 10 years: https://lemmy.ca/post/26497747.

Reuters and AP articles are INCOMPLETE.

They are freaking crazy. This court doesn’t understand “democracy” if they think advocating for a law change is anti-democratic.

Your reading comprehension is poor. I made zero point about US power. You keep deflecting the issue of your basic error and minimizing the Chinese aggression against its neighbors. Issue is Chinese expansion and aggression in South China Sea, in the straits of Taiwan and Sea of Japan, and how it’s neighbors are now banding together to prepare for this aggression. Your masters the Chinese are dumb because by making threatening gestures towards its neighbors it’s brought this all on to themselves. They really haven’t been smart, if you can think about. But you are a low level worker at a troll farm, and incapable of thinking.

MNDAA are no longer hiding where their allegiance lies.

I have not only heard I have seen them. Chinese have the largest military by man power and the largest navy by number of ships in the world.

Yeah have you ever heard of PPP? Obviously not.

Actually China has the largest military in the world.

This development indicates the insecurity of current regime leader Min Aung Hlaing who has suffered significant battlefield defeats in recent months including the loss of tourist hub Ngapali beach and the important Ruby-Jade mining town of Mogok just yesterday to anti-junta groups. Former dictator Than Shwe is considered a mentor to Min Aung Hlaing. Than Shwe was the one who placed Min Aung Hlaing as chief of staff of the military. Former president Thein Sein had just returned from a recent official visit to China, weeks after receiving an unusual and publicized visit by Chinese Ambassador to Burma.